МЕТОДИКА РАСЧЕТА ВЕРОЯТНОСТИ ЗАБИТЬ ГОЛ В КОМБИНАЦИИ ПО ВЫИГРАННЫМ ТЕХНИКО-ТАКТИЧЕСКИМ ЕДИНОБОРСТВАМ В МИНИ-ФУТБОЛЕ

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Resumo

The game in futsal, as in any game sport, consists of creating a goal moment through a sequence of the technical and tactical combats and its implementation. The probability of scoring a goal in combination is equal to all these probabilities. The key in this is determining the likelihood of winning a single combat. The authors measured the percentage of the combats won in each of the 38 technical and tactical fighting for the 2015-16 seasons of the AMFR Super League. However, simple averaging of the percentage of the techno-tactical combats won in the attack by one player and similar techno-tactical combats lost in defense by another player is not the solution to the problem. We experimentally selected the formula that showed more stable dispersion of the expected percentage of the combats won. Based on the obtained formula, the package of combinations was formed for the Russian team for the match with the Spanish national team, both in attack and in defense. The algorithm recommended rearranging the players from the usual arrangement to the arrangement for the combination. This caused dissatisfaction with the national team coach. However, combinations from the standard arrangement showed more modest results. We note that in the real match, 8 goals were scored with a large number of errors on both sides.
Título traduzido da contribuiçãoProbability calculation procedure to score a goal by the won technical and tactical combats in mini football
Idioma originalRussian
Páginas (de-até)239-243
Número de páginas5
RevistaУченые записки университета им. П.Ф. Лесгафта
Número de emissão9 (175)
Estado da publicaçãoPublished - 2019

GRNTI

  • 77.00.00 PHYSICAL CULTURE AND SPORTS

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  • VAK List

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